Robbed

The best losing scores in the group's history, each annotated with how often that exact score would have won a game instead - compared only against winning scores from games played strictly before it (not future ones, and not affected by the period filter above, which only controls which losing scores are eligible to be ranked). Personal bests that still lost are flagged. Truncated to scores that would have won more often than the robbing threshold above.

Date Player Score Would have won Personal best?

Highway Robbery

For every game with a sole winner (ties excluded - nobody is "the" winner in a tie), the lowest hole-by-hole win probability they reached before pulling it out - using each player's full prior history (not the period filter, which only controls which games are ranked here). Both the winner's and every opponent's remaining-hole uncertainty are modelled as full empirical distributions, not a single projected score, so this reflects each opponent's own historical spread rather than just their median. A low number means a heroic recovery, or everyone else driving into a hedge. Early holes are still noisy on tiny historical samples, so checkpoints before the hole below are ignored. Truncated to games where that lowest probability fell below the robbing threshold above.

Date Winner Lowest win probability At hole